Council for a Livable World
Mark the Contests as They Are Settled
51: Democratic seats as of Nov. 4
7-7:30 PM (EST)
___Virginia: +1 - Mark Warner (D) vs. Jim Gilmore (R) – slam dunk for the Democrats
___Georgia: ? - Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R) vs. Jim Martin (D) – Chambliss narrowly favored; if Martin upsets the incumbent or forces a runoff in a month (the winner must receive 50% + 1), it will be a good night for Democrats
___Kentucky: ? - Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) vs. Bruce Lunsford (D) – Minority Leader favored; if Lunsford pulls off an upset, 60 votes are in sight
8-8:30 PM (EST)
___North Carolina: +1 - Kay Hagan (D) vs. Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) – Although there are conflicting polls, Hagan has maintain a narrow lead in most polls
___New Hampshire: +1 –Jeanne Shaheen (D) vs. Sen. John Sununu (R) – Shaheen has been ahead the entire campaign and should win, in a reversal of the same matchup six years ago
___Maine: no change - Sen. Susan Collins (R) vs. Rep. Tom Allen (D) – only a miracle – a huge Obama landslide -- can save Allen against the ever-popular Collins
___Mississippi -? - Sen. Roger Wicker (R) vs. Ronnie Musgrove (D) – this is another contest where the Republican is favored and a Musgrove upset moves D’s towards the magic 60
9-9:30 PM (EST)
___New Mexico: +1 - Rep. Tom Udall (D) vs. Rep. Steve Pearce (R) – an easy win for one of the Udall cousins
___Colorado: +1 Rep. Mark Udall (D) vs. ex-Rep. Bob Schaffer (R) – more of a struggle than for his cousin, but still a win
___Minnesota: ? - Al Franken (D) vs. Sen. Norm Coleman (R) vs Dean Barkley (I) – there are conflicting polls here and an independent with substantial support, making this contest difficult to predict
___Louisiana - no change - Sen. Mary Landrieu (D) vs. John Kennedy (R) – the only hope for a Republican takeover of a Democratic seat, but not much of one
10-10:30 PM (EST)
No key contests
11-11:30 PM (EST)
Oregon: +1 - Jeff Merkley (D) vs. Sen. Gordon Smith (R) – upstart Merkley has staked out a narrow but consistent lead and should win
Mid-night – 1:00 AM
___Alaska: +1 - Nick Begich (R) vs. Sen. Ted Stevens (R) – A Mayor beats a man with conviction(s).
___GRAND TOTAL
Tuesday, November 4, 2008
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